Telegram backup we told our friends and family that we were going to Iceland they said "why, what is there to see". Since we returned we have not stopped talking about our trip and showing photos of this incredibly beautiful country such a long way from Australia. I proudly wear my "Iceland. It is a great conversation starter.
We had a wonderful time in Iceland and thought that the whole trip was organised very well indeed. The documentation supplied was excellent and we felt like we were travelling independently but with the full support of experienced local people. Iceland was amazing and as you travel around the coast the scenery just seems to get better and better and we found our vocabulary constantly consisted of words like stunning, beautiful, fantastic and wow. Thank you for a superb trip.
It was the most amazing trip we've ever had. Jelena at Nordic Visitor made it flawless and catered it to our likings. It all started at the Airport where we were greeted by a very nice gentleman who had a sign with our names on it.
He drove us to our hotel at Reykjavik, told us stories about Iceland and of course gave us our travelling package. A very nice blue bag, that we used through our trip to keep our maps and memories together, had a big map with our route and things to see highlighted, a beautiful book with all the places to see, tons of good information, itinerary with addresses and phone numbers for hotels and a telephone, that was very useful, when our car broke down away from the main road.
We were back on the road in less than two hours. Local mechanic was nice and we got to try some hot dogs at the local gas station, which you need to try, hot dogs are the best ever!. You also need to try Icelandic Burgers, they are great!.
Buy them fresh almost at any gas station. Local meat soup, meat products and charr are great. Keep in mind that smoked means really smoked, almost like chewing on a burning stick. Everything worth a try though. Local milk products are flavorful and awesome!. There are many things to see in Iceland and we wish we would spend more time there. We needed at least couple more days to really enjoy places that we loved.
The scenery changes every 100 ft and all of it is beautiful. Iceland is very photogenic!. Renting 4x4 is a good idea, it gets you places easier.I learned a lot and have even applied what I've learned in this course to the other course I'm enrolled in currently. Thank you for the great notes and text. The course helped me learn Tableau and some of the effective Visualization techniques.
I really liked the detailed assignments with hints and steps required to perform some of the tasks. The book for this course is very good. Everything is explained in a really clear way. Films are great too and help in understanding issues. I very much enjoyed the Stats 1 and 2 classes, and I think your book and approach really are excellent. I have taken a variety of stats-type classes, including calculus-based probability, but the re-sampling gave me a much more intuitive understanding than any other approach.
I certainly feel that I got my money's worth from this course and this was almost entirely due to the prompt, thoughtful and expert comments of Brady and Andrzej.
I liked the way this course is presented. In every assignment we needed to think logically to produce the required plots and that's what I liked.
Thanks for such a wonderful course. It was great to get a better sense of the Python language. The course gave a great overview of the data analysis and visualization tools. The lecture notes were clear and concise. The instructor did a great job in covering many different topics in such a short course.
This course definitely adds another dimension to my map visualization capabilities other than just relying on QGIS. I greatly appreciated learning about SEM from a foremost expert of the subject. I now have a more thorough understanding of SEM from theoretical and practical perspectives.
I found this a very good grounding the the statistical theory, but also there were good discussions about some of the practical issues.
The introduction to the various software packages was also very helpful. Every professor has unique and great qualities in them and the unique and great quality that I found in Prof Anthony Babinec is that he can write pages of explanation for each and every line in the book. He is an awesome professor. He explained each and every doubts we had to the perfection. I feel this class gave me a much better understanding of how to design experiments and enhanced my statistical vocabulary.
One thing I liked about Mr. Babinec's approach was that his written explanations were precise. Overall, I enjoyed the class and it was well worth the time spent. Instructor John Verzani provided timely and detailed responses to each and every question posted on the forum. His depth of knowledge in both statistics and R and his passion for teaching are the major contribution to the success of this class. I took this class out of general curiosity and the fact that it used Python, which is increasingly attractive to me in building my own software tools.
To my delighted surprise I found the course to be one of the very best (out of more than 20) I have taken at Statistics. It proved a harmonious blend of theory (buttressed by relevant reading and videos by the instructor), focused homework exercises, and training in Python coding. As a result I learned much and enjoyed the process greatly.
I was particularly impressed with the instructor's choice of homework assignments, which fascinated me, and with the importance he placed in students writing clear, even elegant, Python code. This is my fifth course using Python at Statistics. Allan Leis is a seasoned professional, working in the field, and it was a luxury having him cast an experienced gaze on my rudimentary code.Click here to view the infographicIT-as-a-Service: the half trillion dollar 'niche'.
For many enterprises, large and small, IT-as-a-Service is appealing for several reasons. It avoids significant capital expenditures and provides a predictable expense based on actual use which is easily scaled up or down, based on business needs. Click here to view the infographicEach year, Predictions authors look back on the previous year to score how well we did with our Predictions. This video focuses on the hottest Predictions topic from 2016: virtual reality.
Watch the video to learn more. In his global role, Paul has authored over 80 TMT reports includi. He is a globally recognized speaker and expert on the forecasting of consumer and enterprise technology. DTTL does not provide services to clients. Future of Mobility Learn how this new reality is coming together and what it will mean for you and your industry.
How could consumer habits change. They reveal the perspectives gained from hundreds of conversations with industry leaders, and thousands of consumer interviews across the globe.
Summaries: Global Predictions 2017 Prints charming: biometric security reaches the billions Prints charming: biometric security reaches the billions. Each year, Predictions authors look back on the previous year to score how well we did with our Predictions. Previous predictions Access the collection of previous TMT Predictions.
But what does 2018 have up its sleeves for Apple fans. Well, here at Macworld we've donned our prognostication hats, investigated every rumour and trend we could find, all to bring you our predictions for 2018. Let's start with a really quick overview of what's happened in 2017.
It's been busy, that's for sure. In January, Apple released its first updates of the year, but these were software. The company made big improvements to its music apps Garageband and Logic Pro X. Then, in March of 2017, Apple hosted an event to show off a few new products that it had been keeping up its sleeve:In June, at WWDC 2017, Apple had several major announcements to share with us.The new line character used as line break in the file that contains the topic distributions.
In a future version, you might be able to share batch topic distributions with other co-workers or, if desired, make them publicly available. A description of the status of the batch topic distribution. This is the date and time in which the batc topic distribution was updated with microsecond precision.
A status code that reflects the status of the batch topic distribution. Example: 1 combiner optional Specifies the method that should be used to combine predictions when a non-boosted ensemble is used to create the evaluation.
None of the fields in the dataset Specifies the fields in the dataset to be excluded to create the evaluation. Example: "MySample" tags optional A list of strings that help classify and index your evaluation. This will be 201 upon successful creation of the evaluation and 200 afterwards. Make sure that you check the code that comes with the status attribute to make sure that the evaluation creation has been completed without errors.
This is the date and time in which the evaluation was created with microsecond precision. Specifies the type of strategy that a model will follow when a missing value needed to continue with inference in the model is found.Most Dangerous Cooking Oils in the World - 2019
Either 0, 1, 2, or 3 to specify respectively whether the evaluation is from a single model, an ensemble, a logistic regression, or or a time series model. By default it is based on the name of model, ensemble, logistic regression, or time series and the dataset used. NEW ordering filterable, sortable The order used to chose instances from the dataset to evaluate the model. In a future version, you will be able to share evaluations with other co-workers or, if desired, make them publicly available.
The result of the evaluation. Depending on the type of task performed by the model (i. Regression results are similarly formatted, but there is a mean predictor instead of a mode. See tables below for the result formats of each model type. A description of the status of the evaluation. This is the date and time in which the evaluation was updated with microsecond precision. A detailed result object with an entry per performance measure computed, a confusion matrix, and a break down of the performance measures per class.
Measures the performance of the classifier that predicts the mode class for all the instances in the dataset. Measures the performance of the classifier that predicts a random class for all the instances in the dataset.
Measures the performance of the model that predicts the mean for all the instances in the dataset. A detailed result object with an entry per performance measure computed. Measures the performance of the model that predicts a random class for all the instances in the dataset. See Coefficient of Determination.
The name of this field will be the same as the corresponding objective field in the model. For each of the ets models in the time series for this objective field: A same name as the submodel, with the submodel's forecast. A column, with name that of the submodel plus the suffix " - lower bound", with the lower bound of the error for the prediction. A similar column for the upper bound of the error. And, finally, a timestamp column, as an unix epoch in milliseconds.
When comparing forecasting methods, the method with the lowest value is the preferred method. See Mean Absolute Scaled Error. See Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error. A status code that reflects the status of the evaluation creation. See the WhizzML category codes for the complete list of categories.If you're new to Windows, you'll be using apps and settings like a pro in no time. And even if you've been using Windows forever, you'll discover new and updated features (and maybe some tricks you never knew).
We'll update the app frequently, so check back to see what's new. Windows Central Rating: 4. Approximate download size 25.
It's easy to navigate, and everything is clear and concise. Still trying to learn. Everything is done so fast that makes learning difficult for many of us. Microsoft, you keep getting better and better. I'm 70 years old. I wasn't born knowing this stuff. An enormous waste of time. None of these features are any more useful than the original Windows 10, which I barely use because I can't figure THAT out either.
If you are going to add stuff to a program, you need to realize we're not all kids who were born with a mouse in one hand and a laptop in the other. I put off this useless upgrade as long as I could -- and then I only caved when Trend Micro said I needed to bring all my security up-to-date with Windows as a precaution due to the ransomware going around.
I clicked that, and here I am -- in Neverland again. COULD SLOW SPEED DOWN TO HELP THIS. I had every version of windows since DOS and I cant believe how far this all has come.
I muddled through all the problems and spent many hours on the phone with tech support and I'm very glad I don't have to do that anymore. Young people have no idea what we went through with computers in the past, now they can even teach me now how to use them(the computers). It is difficult to edit it or add and keep it straight in what's in the "made for you" and what's missing that you want. In the old app I could alphabetize all my photos by subject -the date thing doesn't work for me.
Please revise for us all. Watch videos and GIFs about how to use Windows 10 features, such as Microsoft Edge, Paint 3D, and Windows Ink.
System Requirements These apply only to PC and phones. Minimum OS Windows 10, Windows 10 Mobile Architecture x86, x64, ARM Recommended OS Windows 10, Windows 10 Mobile Architecture x86, x64, ARM Additional info Published by Microsoft Corporation (c) Microsoft Corporation.
More Approximate download size 25. Your review will post soon. There was an error posting your review. Please try again later. I'm in my late 50's and remember the first time I went on the internet at 16k(modem), there were literally maybe 20 pages and they were all crazy math problems. YES NO REPORT Contains spam or advertising Contains profanity Contains offensive content 1-10 of 6,703 reviews Previous Next Thank you for your feedback.
Sorry, something went wrong. Please upgrade to a newer browser.Aside from being FREE, this is really an awesome App for an e-commerce store like us www.
SO easy to use and makes customers feel comfortable after checkout. So far, this app has been great.
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Your customers can have a great checkout experience, but if they don't have visibility on their shipment, they turn into. Great app, definitely would recommend it to anyone who has a decent amount of volume in sales. Eases peace of mind knowing that your customers have up to date delivery notifications.
Wonderful application for any Sh. I like this app. It's easy to use by customers and very easy to setup by us. Using Aftership has been a huge boost to our company's reputation. Getting orders sent out and letting customers know ex. A great app because of its features. The default written instructions on how the returns center work is complete, just a. The best app and a great help for order tracking. They cover a wide range of couriers world wide which makes them the be.
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They leaped from being the most conservative age group to the one most likely to trade up. Similarly, the preference for famous brand names among these older buyers jumped by more than 20 percent, fully closing the previous difference among cohorts. That said, the upper age group has remained more pragmatic and cost conscious than any other age group, as we discuss in the following section.
Back in 2011, even as we were predicting changes in the behavior and preferences of Chinese consumers, we also saw ways in which their essential pragmatism would likely stay the same. For instance, we anticipated that impulse buying would remain lower than in other countries and that value for money would continue to be an important consideration when choosing products and services.
Interestingly, Chinese consumers across all age groups have, in some ways, become even more pragmatic. The individual consumer We also predicted that as Chinese consumers aspire to a better life and trade up their purchases, they would become more discerning and gradually more individualistic.
This would lead, for example, to a shift toward more healthy choices, more user-friendly products, and products and brands that better fit their personality. This could be a big opportunity for niche brandsand a threat to the mass-market brands that had won big in previous years by using scale and ubiquitous availability, supported by the trust gained by heavy advertising.
Our latest research certainly shows a decrease in consumption in categories deemed less healthy and a willingness to spend significantly more on health and more environmentally conscious categories.
It also shows consumers are more likely to spend more to indulge themselves and more likely to try new technology. While their consumption choices have become more individualistic, though, it is important to note that family values continue to be at the top of their priorities (Exhibit 3).
One area our predictions missed, however, was by anticipating that consumers, as they became more individualistic in their choices, might focus less on basic product reliability and safety.
Perhaps in part because of a number of more recent food scandals, however, consumers seemed more concerned with these issues in 2015 than they were before. When our team first started researching Chinese consumers, nearly ten years ago, many of us were surprised by their fickle attitude toward brands.
Fewer than half of consumers tended to stick with their favorite brands, compared, for example, with almost three quarters of US consumers. As we debated this tendency while making our predictions, we wondered if, in the clash between pragmatism and individualism, brand loyalty would stay low, increase, or even decline. Ultimately, we decided it would increase as the emotional benefits of brands became more important to consumers and as increased choice and availability of branded products (online and off) would allow consumers to optimize for price and convenience without changing choices too often.
Our recent research confirmed the changes we anticipated. Consumers are now significantly less likely to buy a brand that is not already among their favorites, continuing the upward trend we observed in 2011 (Exhibit 4). The modern shopper Our 2011 predictions were bullish on e-commerce, predicting that Chinese consumers would adapt their channel choices even faster than has occurred in developed markets.
We estimated that by 2020, online consumer-electronics purchases would jump to 40 percent, from about 10 percent. More mainstream categories would rise to 15 percent, and some categories, such as groceries (now below 1 percent), could reach about 10 percent. These changes are occurring even as the enduring pragmatism and diligence of the Chinese consumer continue to be in place. Our latest research shows that consumers of all age groups are much more likely to collect information online, even on fast-moving consumer goods, than they were just three years ago.
In 2015, online food and beverages sales (excluding fresh) reached 7. The online share of consumer-electronic purchases, meanwhile, has reached a whopping 39 percent in 2015, and it now looks possible that by 2020 it will be about 50 percent of overall sales.
Making predictions may be difficult, especially about the futureas US Baseball Hall of Famer Yogi Berra famously observed. But they can still provide valuable foresight for executives. Create a profile to get full access to our articles and reports, including those by McKinsey Quarterly and the McKinsey Global Institute, and to subscribe to our newsletters and email alerts. McKinsey Quarterly Our flagship business publication has been defining and informing the senior-management agenda since 1964.
McKinsey Academy Our learning programs help organizations accelerate growth by unlocking their people's potential. What the future of work will mean for jobs, skills, and wages Report - McKinsey Global Institute 2.